Sports Betting and Investing
The NFL season starts this Thursday. Before you non-sports-fans ignore the rest of this post, just hear me out. I’m going somewhere with this.
Let me say right off the bat, I don’t know jack about football. At work, I’m sarcastically known as ‘the sports guy.’ I couldn’t tell you if Terrell Owens is a kicker or a quarterback. I don’t care. I’m interested in the NFL for a very different reason.
It’s not much of a secret that many people gamble on the NFL. And that fact got me thinking that sports gambling is a type of investing. Seriously.
Think about it. What’s the definition of ‘investment?’ Here’s what Investorwords.com says and it’s a pretty good definition
In finance, the purchase of a financial product or other item of value with an expectation of favorable future returns. In general terms, investment means the use money in the hope of making more money.
So if I give money to a friend who’s particularly good at picking games, I’m doing so with the expectation of favorable future returns. I’m using money in the hope of making more money.
Gambling is very commonly synonymous with speculation. Now here’s the definition of speculation
Taking large risks, especially with respect to trying to predict the future; gambling, in the hopes of making quick, large gains.
Well I’m not taking large risks. In this (purely fictitious, I assure you) scenario, I’m not hoping for quick, large gains. I’m hoping for a return over the length of the season. There is no large bet on any single game. Bets are placed over a length of time (’investment horizon’) and spread among many games (’diversification’).
I think, then, that sports gambling can properly be labeled ‘investing’ when done in this way. I’m not advocating gambling per se. But sports gambling is as legitimate an investment as stock picking.








September 6th, 2007 at 11:44 am
There’s a difference in expected value though. In gambling, you can at most expect to break even over the long run. It’s worse than break even if you’re gambling on the lottery or at a casino. Whereas in the stock market, provided you don’t take excessive risks, you can get a long-term average gain of around 6% a year.
September 6th, 2007 at 1:16 pm
There are many ways to invest using sports gambling…but it requires tremendous discipline, something most people who “gamble” don’t have. I’ve seen a few sites out there that can provide the advice and discipline necessary, and generally return positive results. I know PickLogic.com is one, but I’m sure there are others.
September 6th, 2007 at 3:38 pm
@ rstlne - Here I’m making the claim that *sports* gambling is akin to investing. Of course you’re correct about casino gambling.
September 10th, 2007 at 8:16 am
[…] post I wasn’t convinced by was from Advanced Personal Finance - Sports Betting and Investing. Sports betting and investing are so different I can’t find words for it. Sports betting […]
September 13th, 2007 at 9:21 am
As an extension to your post, you might want to check out an article on the difference between gambling and investing by Thomas Murcko, CEO of InvestorGuide.com.
http://www.investorguide.com/gambling-vs-investing.cgi